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Development of an epidemiological model for the assessment of the spread of the Classical Swine fever in Segovia


April 28th, 2009

Vazquez M., Martinez B. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM.

Conference in VIII Congreso de Ciencias Veterinarias y Biomedicas



The aim of this study was to develop an epidemiological model to analyze the spread patterns
of the classical swine fever virus in Segovia and to assess the areas and farm types with more
epidemiological risk. The model used was a state-transition stochastic and spatial model. As a
result it was obtained a mean (95% IP) of 28 (1-98) infected farms, 15 (0-70) depopulated and
71 (2-279) quarantined farms in the protection zone. The average duration of the epidemic
was 63 (1-168) days and the average time to detection was 14 (6-39) days. The areas at higher
risk of spread of CSF in Segovia were identified in the central-western region. This study
could be useful for decision making regarding the prevention and control of potential
epidemics of Classical Swine Fever




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Publication: Development of an epidemiological model for the assessment of the spread of the Classical Swine fever in Segovia





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VIII Congreso de Ciencias Veterinarias y Biomedicas


VIII Congreso de Ciencias Veterinarias y Biomedicas

TITLE: Development of an epidemiological model for the assessment of the spread of the Classical Swine fever in Segovia


TYPE: Oral communication


AUTHORS: Vazquez M., Martinez B. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM.


DATE: April 28th, 2009



CITE THIS COMMUNICATION:

Vazquez M., Martinez B. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM.. Development of an epidemiological model for the assessment of the spread of the Classical Swine fever in Segovia. VIII Congreso de Ciencias Veterinarias y Biomedicas, Facultad de Veterinaria. UCM, April 28th, 2009.